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Secondary Phase · Graduated CLOB
Predictions · Finance · breaking
FI
Will raax finish on the PnL leader board with a positive percentage ?
Closes Wed, 11 Nov 2026 23:02:00 GMT
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Event intelligence
AI brief · cited evidenceThis prediction market asks whether raax finishes on the PnL leaderboard with a positive percentage. The issuer rule requires a YES resolution only if that condition is met; otherwise it resolves NO. The market is open with a probability of 50.3%, a best bid of 0.4531, a best ask of 0.5538, and a spread of 0.1007. No primary resolution source or related reporting is supplied, so the outcome depends entirely on an unverified leaderboard event by the 23:02 UTC deadline.
What supports YES
- YES resolves if raax finishes on the PnL leaderboard with a positive percentage. A verified report or leaderboard snapshot showing raax with a positive percentage at or before the deadline would satisfy this condition.
- YES is triggered if a primary source confirms raax's positive percentage on the leaderboard before the market closes at 2026-11-11T23:02:00.000Z. The current market probability of 50.3% reflects slight optimism, but no evidence yet confirms the event.
What supports NO
- The market resolves NO if raax does not finish on the PnL leaderboard with a positive percentage. Because no primary source or reporting is provided, any failure to observe a verified positive leaderboard entry would default to NO.
- NO is triggered if the event closes without a confirmed positive percentage for raax on the leaderboard. The market closes at 2026-11-11T23:02:00.000Z; without a source confirming a positive finish by then, the resolution defaults to NO.
What to watch
- Monitor for any published leaderboard data or issuer updates before the 2026-11-11T23:02:00.000Z close. Currently, the bid-ask spread is wide (0.1007) and only 4 trades have occurred, indicating low liquidity and high uncertainty.
- Watch for ambiguity in defining 'positive percentage' and 'finish on the leaderboard.' Without a linked primary source, any clarification from the issuer or a verified report will be critical to determining the final resolution.
Research interpretation, not an independently calibrated forecast. Quotes, issuer criteria, and related reporting are separate evidence sources. Updated Wed, 11 Nov 2026 21:25:28 GMT.
Panta has no compatible probability history for this event yet. Momentum, RSI, and historical volatility remain unavailable.
Market structure & technical measures
Observed positioning and execution conditions. Missing history stays unavailable.
- Time to close
- 1.6h
- Market volume
- 6.1USD
- Market uncertainty
- 1/1
- YES / NO price sum
- 100¢
- Quoted spread
- 10.1¢
- Bid / ask depth imbalance
- 0.7%
- Recent trades sampled
- 4
Remaining time until trading closes, not necessarily final settlement.
Cumulative provider-reported volume, not 24-hour volume or available liquidity.
Binary entropy of the quoted YES price: 1 at 50/50 and 0 at 0/100. Not confidence in an outcome.
Indicative combined quote cost. Fees and execution slippage are excluded; this is not an arbitrage signal.
Best ask minus best bid. An order-book measure; unavailable for native bonding-curve markets.
Dollar depth within 5¢ of best prices. Positive means more resting bids; not a forecast.
Panta catalog tape, at most 200 trades. Not a full-day trade count.
Other outcomes in this event
Will the top 3 of the Leaderboard of the NectarFi x Panta trading competition be in the green by end of week 3?100.0%Will a new trader break into the top 3 of the Leaderboard of the NectarFi x Panta trading competition by the end of week 3?100.0%Will total trading volume in the Panta x NectarFi trading competition cross $200,000 by the end of week 2?100.0%Will NectarFi user zuby (@NzubeEzudo on X) crack the top 5 of the Leaderboard in the NectarFi x Panta trading competition at the end of week 1?100.0%Will exactly 4 traders cross the $100,000 threshold on the final volume leaderboard?50.7%Will @PantaHQ publish a recap post with the final statistics (number of traders or total trading volume) of the Panta x NectarFi Trading Competition by November 20, 2026, 23:59 WAT?50.3%Will the current PnL leader (@shin) drop below +100.00% gain within the next 2 hours?50.3%
How this market resolves
Resolve YES, if raax finishes on the PnL leaderboard with a positive percentage. Else resolve NO.