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Primary Phase · Bonding Curve AMM
Predictions · Crypto · breaking
CR
Will @PantaHQ publish a recap post with the final statistics (number of traders or total trading volume) of the Panta x NectarFi Trading Competition by November 20, 2026, 23:59 WAT?
Closes Fri, 20 Nov 2026 21:59:00 GMT
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Event intelligence
AI brief · cited evidenceThe market asks whether @PantaHQ will publish a recap post containing at least one final statistic of the Panta x NectarFi Trading Competition by November 20, 2026, 23:59 WAT. Current probability is 50.3% with a bid of 0.4531 and ask of 0.5538. No evidence confirms that such a post has been published or that it will be; the market remains open with 9.02 days to close. Without observed publication, the condition for YES is unmet.
What supports YES
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
What supports NO
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
What to watch
- Monitor @PantaHQ's X account for any post containing final statistics (participants, volume, or markets created) before the deadline. The market closes at 2026-11-20T21:59:00Z (23:59 WAT). Current spread is 0.1007, indicating uncertainty. No oracle or verification source is specified in the rules, so resolution depends solely on observable publication.
Research interpretation, not an independently calibrated forecast. Quotes, issuer criteria, and related reporting are separate evidence sources. Updated Wed, 11 Nov 2026 21:26:28 GMT.
Panta has no compatible probability history for this event yet. Momentum, RSI, and historical volatility remain unavailable.
Market structure & technical measures
Observed positioning and execution conditions. Missing history stays unavailable.
- Time to close
- 216.5h
- Market volume
- 6.1USD
- Market uncertainty
- 1/1
- YES / NO price sum
- 100¢
- Quoted spread
- 10.1¢
- Bid / ask depth imbalance
- 0.7%
- Recent trades sampled
- 4
Remaining time until trading closes, not necessarily final settlement.
Cumulative provider-reported volume, not 24-hour volume or available liquidity.
Binary entropy of the quoted YES price: 1 at 50/50 and 0 at 0/100. Not confidence in an outcome.
Indicative combined quote cost. Fees and execution slippage are excluded; this is not an arbitrage signal.
Best ask minus best bid. An order-book measure; unavailable for native bonding-curve markets.
Dollar depth within 5¢ of best prices. Positive means more resting bids; not a forecast.
Panta catalog tape, at most 200 trades. Not a full-day trade count.
Other outcomes in this event
Will the top 3 of the Leaderboard of the NectarFi x Panta trading competition be in the green by end of week 3?100.0%Will a new trader break into the top 3 of the Leaderboard of the NectarFi x Panta trading competition by the end of week 3?100.0%Will total trading volume in the Panta x NectarFi trading competition cross $200,000 by the end of week 2?100.0%Will NectarFi user zuby (@NzubeEzudo on X) crack the top 5 of the Leaderboard in the NectarFi x Panta trading competition at the end of week 1?100.0%Will exactly 4 traders cross the $100,000 threshold on the final volume leaderboard?50.7%Will raax finish on the PnL leader board with a positive percentage ?50.3%Will the current PnL leader (@shin) drop below +100.00% gain within the next 2 hours?50.3%
How this market resolves
Resolve YES, if @PantaHQ publishes a post on X that includes at least one final statistic of the Panta x NectarFi Trading Competition (such as total number of participants, total trading volume, or number of markets created) by November 20, 2026, 23:59 WAT. Otherwise resolves No.. Else resolve NO.