Predictions · Finance · breaking
Closes Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:59:00 GMT
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
The market resolved NO because the total trading volume in the Panta x NectarFi competition reached only $503.91 by the October 24, 2026 deadline, far short of the required $200,000 threshold. The market is marked as closed with a probability of 1 for the NO outcome.
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
Research interpretation, not an independently calibrated forecast. Quotes, issuer criteria, and related reporting are separate evidence sources. Updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026 08:16:33 GMT.
Panta has no compatible probability history for this event yet. Momentum, RSI, and historical volatility remain unavailable.
Observed positioning and execution conditions. Missing history stays unavailable.
Remaining time until trading closes, not necessarily final settlement.
Cumulative provider-reported volume, not 24-hour volume or available liquidity.
Binary entropy of the quoted YES price: 1 at 50/50 and 0 at 0/100. Not confidence in an outcome.
Indicative combined quote cost. Fees and execution slippage are excluded; this is not an arbitrage signal.
Best ask minus best bid. An order-book measure; unavailable for native bonding-curve markets.
Dollar depth within 5¢ of best prices. Positive means more resting bids; not a forecast.
Panta catalog tape, at most 200 trades. Not a full-day trade count.
Distinct trader addresses in the fetched tape; does not establish distinct people.
Change in YES probability against an observation within one hour of 24h ago.
14 hourly changes in YES probability. Describes recent positioning, not outcome likelihood.
Standard deviation of daily changes; requires timestamp-aligned history.
panta-api · Sun, 25 Oct 2026 08:16:25 GMT
Will total trading volume in the Panta x NectarFi trading competition cross $200,000 by the end of week 2?
Market issuer
Market resolution criteria
Sisera calculations · Sun, 25 Oct 2026 08:16:29 GMT
Observed market measures