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Secondary Phase · Graduated CLOB
Predictions · Crypto · breaking
CR
Will Justfreaqy finish ahead of SmrtAlpha in Total Points on the final NectarFi PantaMarkets leaderboard?
Closes Wed, 11 Nov 2026 23:59:00 GMT
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Event intelligence
AI brief · cited evidenceThe market asks whether Justfreaqy finishes with strictly higher Total Points than SmrtAlpha on the final NectarFi PantaMarkets Leaderboard. The current probability is 50.27% (last trade 0.5027), with a best bid of 0.4524 and best ask of 0.5529. The market closes at 2026-11-11T23:59:00Z, approximately 0.11 days away. No historical probability data, underlying scores, or independent reporting is available to establish a directional case.
What supports YES
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
What supports NO
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
What to watch
- The market is currently balanced near 50.27% probability with a 10.05 cent spread and only 4 trades across 4 wallets. Any change in order book depth or new trades should be monitored as they may signal shifting expectations before the 23:59 UTC deadline.
- The resolution requires strictly higher Total Points for Justfreaqy. Without access to the final leaderboard or real-time score feeds, the exact threshold and rounding rules remain undefined. Watch for any official leaderboard publication or oracle update that clarifies the final standings.
- With only 0.98 days open and $5.60 volume, liquidity is extremely thin. A single trade could significantly shift the price. Monitor the bid-ask spread and trade frequency for signs of information arrival or position squaring before close.
Research interpretation, not an independently calibrated forecast. Quotes, issuer criteria, and related reporting are separate evidence sources. Updated Wed, 11 Nov 2026 21:25:27 GMT.
Panta has no compatible probability history for this event yet. Momentum, RSI, and historical volatility remain unavailable.
Market structure & technical measures
Observed positioning and execution conditions. Missing history stays unavailable.
- Time to close
- 2.6h
- Market volume
- 5.6USD
- Market uncertainty
- 1/1
- YES / NO price sum
- 100¢
- Quoted spread
- 10¢
- Bid / ask depth imbalance
- 0.5%
- Recent trades sampled
- 4
Remaining time until trading closes, not necessarily final settlement.
Cumulative provider-reported volume, not 24-hour volume or available liquidity.
Binary entropy of the quoted YES price: 1 at 50/50 and 0 at 0/100. Not confidence in an outcome.
Indicative combined quote cost. Fees and execution slippage are excluded; this is not an arbitrage signal.
Best ask minus best bid. An order-book measure; unavailable for native bonding-curve markets.
Dollar depth within 5¢ of best prices. Positive means more resting bids; not a forecast.
Panta catalog tape, at most 200 trades. Not a full-day trade count.
Other outcomes in this event
Will the top 3 of the Leaderboard of the NectarFi x Panta trading competition be in the green by end of week 3?100.0%Will a new trader break into the top 3 of the Leaderboard of the NectarFi x Panta trading competition by the end of week 3?100.0%Will total trading volume in the Panta x NectarFi trading competition cross $200,000 by the end of week 2?100.0%Will NectarFi user zuby (@NzubeEzudo on X) crack the top 5 of the Leaderboard in the NectarFi x Panta trading competition at the end of week 1?100.0%Will exactly 4 traders cross the $100,000 threshold on the final volume leaderboard?50.7%Will raax finish on the PnL leader board with a positive percentage ?50.3%Will @PantaHQ publish a recap post with the final statistics (number of traders or total trading volume) of the Panta x NectarFi Trading Competition by November 20, 2026, 23:59 WAT?50.3%
How this market resolves
Resolve YES, if Justfreaqy finishes with a strictly higher Total Points score than SmrtAlpha on the final NectarFi PantaMarkets Leaderboard at the end of the competition.. Else resolve NO.