Predictions · Powered by Panta · Politics · secondary
Closes Mon, 31 May 2027 03:00:00 GMT
Indicative prices. Executable offers and fees are confirmed by a live venue quote.
Yes
38.2%
No
61.8%
The market quotes YES at 38.2%. This is market pricing, not an independently verified probability.
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
The available evidence does not establish a case for this side.
Research interpretation, not an independently calibrated forecast. Quotes, issuer criteria, and related reporting are separate evidence sources. Updated Sun, 18 Oct 2026 10:10:06 GMT.
Panta has no compatible probability history for this event yet. Momentum, RSI, and historical volatility remain unavailable.
Observed positioning and execution conditions. Missing history stays unavailable.
Remaining time until trading closes, not necessarily final settlement.
Binary entropy of the quoted YES price: 1 at 50/50 and 0 at 0/100. Not confidence in an outcome.
Indicative combined quote cost. Fees and execution slippage are excluded; this is not an arbitrage signal.
Panta catalog tape, at most 200 trades. Not a full-day trade count.
Distinct trader addresses in the fetched tape; does not establish distinct people.
Change in YES probability against an observation within one hour of 24h ago.
14 hourly changes in YES probability. Describes recent positioning, not outcome likelihood.
Resolve YES, if Resolve YES if Peter Obi is officially declared the winner of the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election by INEC. Otherwise resolve NO.. Else resolve NO.
Standard deviation of daily changes; requires timestamp-aligned history.
Cumulative provider-reported volume, not 24-hour volume or available liquidity.
Best ask minus best bid. An order-book measure; unavailable for native bonding-curve markets.
Dollar depth within 5¢ of best prices. Positive means more resting bids; not a forecast.
panta-onchain · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 10:09:31 GMT
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Market resolution criteria
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